Losing Streak Probability

A 50% win rate doesn't mean you alternate wins and losses. Over a run of trades, brutal streaks are not just possible — they're expected. Here's what's actually waiting for you.

Your realistic hit rate
Used to project your week / month / year
Odds of a streak over ~21 trades (one month)
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Built by the same brain

These numbers are step one. Temper is step two.

The math tells you what to do. Temper is my trading psychology app that catches you breaking your own rules in the moment, before the damage is done.

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